虹桥论坛开幕 智库报告预测2050年贸易红利达3万亿美元

by Zhou Weiran 周伟然

November 5, 2026 2026年11月5日

[News] [新闻]

CIIE 进博会

China International Import Expo 中国国际进口博览会

Hongqiao 虹桥

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The 9th Hongqiao International Economic Forum opened in Shanghai today, drawing officials, economists and business leaders, who called for smoother trade to rebalance the global economy moving toward 2050.第九届虹桥国际经济论坛今日在上海开幕，吸引了众多官员、经济学家和商界领袖参会。与会者呼吁推动贸易更加顺畅，以助力全球经济在迈向2050年的进程中实现再平衡。

Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang attended the opening ceremony and delivered a keynote speech at the forum which is being held concurrently with the 9th China International Import Expo.副总理丁薛祥出席了与第九届中国国际进口博览会同期举办的该论坛开幕式，并发表主旨演讲。

Credit: Ti Gong图片来源：Ti Gong

Caption: A roundtable discussion is held at the 9th Hongqiao International Economic Forum, featuring John Ross, former director of economic and business policy for the mayor of London.说明：第九届虹桥国际经济论坛举办圆桌讨论，伦敦前市长经济与商业政策主任约翰·罗斯出席此次讨论。

At an afternoon sub-forum, the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China, released the report, “Global Trade Towards 2050: Economic Rebalancing, National Reopening and Rules Reshaping.”在当日下午的分论坛上，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院发布了《迈向2050年的全球贸易：经济再平衡、国家重启与规则重塑》报告。

Deeper multilateral cooperation could add about US$3 trillion to global output by 2050 and lift global exports to about 1.18 times the baseline level, the report said.报告称，到2050年，深化多边合作可为全球产出增加约3万亿美元，并将全球出口量提升至基准水平的约1.18倍。

Joint progress in clean energy and fair industrial development could create about 152 million additional manufacturing jobs in developing economies and help about 525 million people rise above the poverty line of US$8.30 a day, it added.该报告补充称，清洁能源与公平产业发展的协同推进，可为发展中经济体新增约1.52亿个制造业岗位，并帮助约5.25亿人摆脱每日8.30美元的贫困线。

The report set out 10 areas for joint progress and five proposals, urging economies to uphold multilateral trade rules, update rules for digital and green trade, and give developing economies a bigger role in rule-making.该报告提出了10个共同推进的领域和5项建议，敦促各经济体维护多边贸易规则，更新数字和绿色贸易规则，并赋予发展中经济体在规则制定中更大的话语权。

It projected cumulative investment needs of US$29 trillion for power grids and US$41.7 trillion for renewable power by 2050.预计到2050年，电网的累计投资需求将达到29万亿美元，可再生能源发电的累计投资需求将达到41.7万亿美元。

Caption: Jeffrey Sachs, economics professor and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University, speaks at the sub-forum.说明：哥伦比亚大学可持续发展中心主任、经济学教授杰弗里·萨克斯在分论坛上发言。

Economist Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University said the world is undergoing “the deepest and most profound rebalancing that is taking place in our time,” as Asia returns to the center of the world economy after some 200 years of Western dominance.哥伦比亚大学的经济学家杰弗里·萨克斯表示，随着亚洲在西方主导约200年后重新回到世界经济的中心，全球正经历着“我们这个时代最深刻、最重大的再平衡”。

He hailed China as the world leader in solar, wind, batteries and electric vehicles, and suggested moving up its 2060 carbon-neutrality goal to 2050.他称赞中国在太阳能、风能、电池和电动汽车领域位居世界领先地位，并建议将中国2060年的碳中和目标提前至2050年实现。

Hanneke Faber, chief executive of Swiss technology firm Logitech, said “the answer is resilience in a world in flux,” capturing the benefits of global scale while staying agile and local.瑞士科技公司罗技的首席执行官汉内克·法伯表示：“在这个变幻莫测的世界里，答案在于韧性。”这句话道出了在保持敏捷和本土化的同时，发挥全球规模优势的益处。

China now accounts for about a third of Logitech’s global workforce and is its second-largest market, she noted, adding that the company is applying to open a seventh global innovation center in Shanghai, near its manufacturing hub in Suzhou, neighboring Jiangsu Province.她指出，中国目前约占罗技全球员工总数的三分之一，是罗技的第二大市场。她补充说，该公司正申请在上海开设第七座全球创新中心，该中心将位于其位于江苏省邻市苏州的制造基地附近。

The sub-forum, “Global Economic Rebalancing: Smoother Trade, Industrial Cooperation and Inclusive Development,” was hosted by the Ministry of Commerce and the International Trade Centre and co-organized by Renmin University of China.由商务部和国际贸易中心主办、中国人民大学联合协办的分论坛以“全球经济再平衡：更顺畅的贸易、产业合作与包容性发展”为主题举办。

Editor: Liu Qi 编辑：刘琦