虹橋論壇開幕 智庫報告預測2050年貿易紅利達3萬億美元

by Zhou Weiran 周偉然

November 5, 2026 2026年11月5日

[News] [新聞]

CIIE 進博會

China International Import Expo 中國國際進口博覽會

Hongqiao 虹橋

Share Article: 分享文章：

The 9th Hongqiao International Economic Forum opened in Shanghai today, drawing officials, economists and business leaders, who called for smoother trade to rebalance the global economy moving toward 2050.第九屆虹橋國際經濟論壇今日在上海開幕，吸引了衆多官員、經濟學家和商界領袖參會。與會者呼籲推動貿易更加順暢，以助力全球經濟在邁向2050年的進程中實現再平衡。

Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang attended the opening ceremony and delivered a keynote speech at the forum which is being held concurrently with the 9th China International Import Expo.副總理丁薛祥出席了與第九屆中國國際進口博覽會同期舉辦的該論壇開幕式，並發表主旨演講。

Credit: Ti Gong圖片來源：Ti Gong

Caption: A roundtable discussion is held at the 9th Hongqiao International Economic Forum, featuring John Ross, former director of economic and business policy for the mayor of London.說明：第九屆虹橋國際經濟論壇舉辦圓桌討論，倫敦前市長經濟與商業政策主任約翰·羅斯出席此次討論。

At an afternoon sub-forum, the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China, released the report, “Global Trade Towards 2050: Economic Rebalancing, National Reopening and Rules Reshaping.”在當日下午的分論壇上，中國人民大學重陽金融研究院發佈了《邁向2050年的全球貿易：經濟再平衡、國家重啓與規則重塑》報告。

Deeper multilateral cooperation could add about US$3 trillion to global output by 2050 and lift global exports to about 1.18 times the baseline level, the report said.報告稱，到2050年，深化多邊合作可爲全球產出增加約3萬億美元，並將全球出口量提升至基準水平的約1.18倍。

Joint progress in clean energy and fair industrial development could create about 152 million additional manufacturing jobs in developing economies and help about 525 million people rise above the poverty line of US$8.30 a day, it added.該報告補充稱，清潔能源與公平產業發展的協同推進，可爲發展中經濟體新增約1.52億個製造業崗位，並幫助約5.25億人擺脫每日8.30美元的貧困線。

The report set out 10 areas for joint progress and five proposals, urging economies to uphold multilateral trade rules, update rules for digital and green trade, and give developing economies a bigger role in rule-making.該報告提出了10個共同推進的領域和5項建議，敦促各經濟體維護多邊貿易規則，更新數字和綠色貿易規則，並賦予發展中經濟體在規則制定中更大的話語權。

It projected cumulative investment needs of US$29 trillion for power grids and US$41.7 trillion for renewable power by 2050.預計到2050年，電網的累計投資需求將達到29萬億美元，可再生能源發電的累計投資需求將達到41.7萬億美元。

Caption: Jeffrey Sachs, economics professor and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University, speaks at the sub-forum.說明：哥倫比亞大學可持續發展中心主任、經濟學教授傑弗裏·薩克斯在分論壇上發言。

Economist Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University said the world is undergoing “the deepest and most profound rebalancing that is taking place in our time,” as Asia returns to the center of the world economy after some 200 years of Western dominance.哥倫比亞大學的經濟學家傑弗裏·薩克斯表示，隨着亞洲在西方主導約200年後重新回到世界經濟的中心，全球正經歷着“我們這個時代最深刻、最重大的再平衡”。

He hailed China as the world leader in solar, wind, batteries and electric vehicles, and suggested moving up its 2060 carbon-neutrality goal to 2050.他稱讚中國在太陽能、風能、電池和電動汽車領域位居世界領先地位，並建議將中國2060年的碳中和目標提前至2050年實現。

Hanneke Faber, chief executive of Swiss technology firm Logitech, said “the answer is resilience in a world in flux,” capturing the benefits of global scale while staying agile and local.瑞士科技公司羅技的首席執行官漢內克·法伯表示：“在這個變幻莫測的世界裏，答案在於韌性。”這句話道出了在保持敏捷和本土化的同時，發揮全球規模優勢的益處。

China now accounts for about a third of Logitech’s global workforce and is its second-largest market, she noted, adding that the company is applying to open a seventh global innovation center in Shanghai, near its manufacturing hub in Suzhou, neighboring Jiangsu Province.她指出，中國目前約佔羅技全球員工總數的三分之一，是羅技的第二大市場。她補充說，該公司正申請在上海開設第七座全球創新中心，該中心將位於其位於江蘇省鄰市蘇州的製造基地附近。

The sub-forum, “Global Economic Rebalancing: Smoother Trade, Industrial Cooperation and Inclusive Development,” was hosted by the Ministry of Commerce and the International Trade Centre and co-organized by Renmin University of China.由商務部和國際貿易中心主辦、中國人民大學聯合協辦的分論壇以“全球經濟再平衡：更順暢的貿易、產業合作與包容性發展”爲主題舉辦。

Editor: Liu Qi 編輯：劉琦